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Bitcoin’s price action may be set for additional upside volatility, with multiple technical indicators pointing to the possibility of a major upward move. Analysts cited tightening volatility signals from Bollinger Bands, oversold readings on the monthly RSI, and momentum indicators that suggest a breakout could be approaching.
Bitcoin’s Bollinger Bands on the monthly time frame have reached their tightest point ever, a condition that typically precedes an expansion in volatility. The analyst said this setup often leads to a “very powerful move” once the bands widen.
On the monthly chart, BTC/USD has already broken above the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands, and the pair gained about 230% between December 2023 and August 2025, reaching an all-time high of $126,000.
Similar Bollinger Band behavior in prior cycles was cited as context: in 2020 and 2016, the market later rallied more than 520% and 4,400%, respectively.
Coinvo Trading also highlighted that Bitcoin’s monthly RSI has fallen to its lowest level since late 2022. This coincided with BTC/USD dropping to a multi-year support trend line—an event that has previously marked macro bottoms.
Coinvo Trading said the last time this occurred was at the bottom of the 2022 bear market, which was followed by a 350% rally to Bitcoin’s prior all-time high of $73,800 in March 2024. The same trendline and oversold RSI setup was described as repeating, with the expectation that a bull run is next.
As reported by Cointelegraph, several additional metrics—including a bullish MACD crossover on the weekly chart—suggest a BTC price breakout may be starting.
Traders are focused on the next major resistance area. Bitcoin “must reclaim” $80,000 for further upside. Cointelegraph also noted that Bitcoin’s 6% rally over the last three days helped BTC/USD fill the $74,000–$77,000 CME gap created over the weekend.
Attention is now on the next CME gap above $80,000, which was formed in early February.
MC Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said resistance at $79,000 could temporarily stall Bitcoin’s upward momentum. He suggested the market may test the level first, pull back slightly, and then build additional “stamina” before pushing higher, mentioning a potential move toward $86,000.
Meanwhile, a Bitcoin whale order book showed heavy sell pressure between $78,000 and $80,000. Cointelegraph added that a close above the $76,000–$78,000 resistance zone would confirm buyers are in control and could clear the way for a potential rally toward $84,000.
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any decisions. Cointelegraph makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, including forward-looking statements, and will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this content.
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