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Dogecoin [DOGE] has broken out of a two-month range formation that extended from $0.088 to $0.104. The move was accompanied by above-average trading volume, even as Bitcoin [BTC] remained range-bound within $76k-$78k.
The breakout was linked to a bullish shift in Dogecoin spot ETF flows, according to AMBCrypto. With the $0.104 level flipped to support, traders are assessing whether the rally can extend—or whether it could turn into a bull trap.
On the 1-day swing structure, DOGE still showed a bearish long-term outlook. While bulls defended the $0.088 support level since February, the $0.127 swing high remained a lower high within the downtrend framework.
Within this structure, the bullish internal structure shift (referred to as green) and the subsequent retest were described as a potential short-term buying opportunity. The $0.1095-$0.1175 zone was cited as a target area where traders could take profits.
Several indicators were mixed. The OBV was making new local highs, suggesting steady buying pressure. However, the CMF remained below -0.05, indicating that buying pressure was not consistent on the 1-day timeframe. The article noted that this created a conflict: OBV pointed to buyer pressure, while CMF suggested distribution.
Momentum signals were also described as supportive in one area: the MACD was above zero, indicating bullish momentum was present. Still, the article emphasized that conflicting volume indicators and the broader structure left uncertainty about the next move.
Volume indicators were not aligned, and the price action suggested that a move beyond the $0.127 high could be possible. At the same time, the $0.1175 level was flagged as a point that could trigger a bearish reaction.
The article argued that traders could wait for confirmation. One approach suggested was to look for a bearish reaction from $0.1175—such as a bearish engulfing candle or a lower-timeframe structure shift—before selling DOGE.
Conversely, it also stated that a daily close above $0.127 would signal a bullish trend shift.
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