Get the latest crypto news, updates, and reports by subscribing to our free newsletter.
Giấy phép số 4978/GP-TTĐT do Sở Thông tin và Truyền thông Hà Nội cấp ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2019 / Giấy phép SĐ, BS GP ICP số 2107/GP-TTĐT do Sở TTTT Hà Nội cấp ngày 13/7/2022.
© 2026 Index.vn
Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, $MSBT, began trading on the NYSE. At the same time, the Polymarket contract tied to Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31, 2026 is trading at 38% YES, up from 34% a week earlier.
The $100,000 market trades about $1,600 in actual USDC daily, indicating moderate liquidity. A move of 5 percentage points is estimated to require roughly $8,640, suggesting some resistance to large swings.
For the $150,000 target, the contract is at 11% YES, with bettors expressing skepticism that Bitcoin can double its current value by year-end.
Morgan Stanley is among the largest wealth management firms globally. Its decision to list a spot Bitcoin ETF on the NYSE provides other institutional allocators with a familiar entry point.
The ETF launch comes as Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions have pushed some investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge. A major bank attaching its name to a Bitcoin product may change the risk and compliance calculus for funds that previously could not justify crypto exposure.
Investors will likely focus on whether other major firms, including BlackRock or Fidelity, announce similar products in response. The outlook for Bitcoin’s appeal could also be influenced by Fed policy shifts and any further escalation in geopolitical tensions.
In particular, inflows into $MSBT in its first weeks of trading are expected to be a key signal of whether institutional demand is sustained or whether the launch is largely symbolic.
At 38¢, a YES share on the $100,000 contract pays $1 if Bitcoin reaches that level, implying a potential 2.63x return. The payoff depends on institutional adoption accelerating and on continued demand from investors treating Bitcoin as a geopolitical hedge.
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100,000 | 38.5% | — | — |
| $150,000 | 10.5% | — | — |
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 14 | 100% | — | — |
Premium gym chains are entering a “golden era” that is ending or already in decline, as rising operating costs collide with shifting consumer preferences toward more flexible, community-based ways to exercise. Long-term memberships are shrinking, margins are pressured by higher rents and facility expenses, and competition from smaller, more personalized…