Viewpoint 16/04: Awaiting the trend?

Viewpoint 16/04: Awaiting the trend? April 15, 2026 19:28 Update Viewpoint 16/04: Awaiting the trend? Price pressure at higher levels is rising across many stocks, and most sector groups are showing a less positive trend. There are not many strong growth investment opportunities. SHS recommends investors maintain their current positions, wait for the trend and cash flow to improve more in other sectors before considering new investment opportunities. Maintain existing positions Saigon-Hanoi Securities (SHS): In the short-term trend, after a period of positive accumulation, the VN-Index is expanding its recovery toward around 1,800 points. This level was the highest price in 2025, with rising price pressure returning for many stocks after the rebound. The VN-Index could extend its rally toward 1,830–1,850 points, corresponding to the trend line connecting the highest price levels in January 2026 and February 2026. The market continues to move positively, driven by leading stocks. Notably, the VinGroup group has risen strongly toward the historical price peaks seen earlier in 2026. SHS notes that price pressure on many stocks has increased and most other sectors show weakly positive to negative bias. There are not many strong growth investment opportunities currently. As the VN-Index and leading stocks return to historical highs, SHS remains cautious. SHS recommends investors maintain their current positions, wait for the trend and cash flows to improve more in other sectors before considering new investment opportunities. Outlook for a new uptrend Tien Phong Securities (TPS): The VN-Index rose on 15/04 with volume roughly equal to 14/04, but still below the 20-session moving average, indicating the market has become more cautious. TPS projects that the VN-Index could not only recover but extend into a new uptrend. The index could target around 1,850 in the near term. Under this scenario, TPS believes any healthy correction would present buying opportunities at reasonable prices. The appropriate strategy in the current phase is to continue holding existing positions, while selectively adding new positions, especially during healthy corrections. At the same time, investors should consider reducing exposure when the VN-Index approaches the 1,850 target or loses the 1,686 support level. Profit realization considerations VCBS: The market continues to sustain the uptrend thanks to VinGroup and several large-cap stocks, but there is also notable dispersion between the leadership of the index and the rest of the market. As the overall index approaches resistance zones and market breadth tilts toward declines, VCBS advises investors to stay cautious and consider realizing profits for stocks that have met short-term targets, while absolutely avoiding chasing stocks that have risen sharply or are testing strong resistance levels. Rung lắc in the 1,780–1,820 point range Asean Securities (Aseansc): Technically, the VN-Index remains in a very positive short-term uptrend after breaking through 1,800, demonstrated by four consecutive up days with candlestick patterns indicating sustained buying pressure during the 15/04 session. A positive point is that the index is currently above all key moving averages from MA5 to MA200, reinforcing both the short-term trend and the mid-term signal. However, in practical terms, Aseansc notes that most of the rally’s attractive edge has been in the breakout zone previously, while the current price area is approaching the next resistance at 1,810–1,820 after a long rally and liquidity has not shown a corresponding expansion. Therefore, Aseansc assesses that 1,800 is no longer a high-edge new buying zone, better suited for holding winning positions and waiting for continuation or retest. The high-probability scenario for 16/04 is that the VN-Index continues to move positively but with fluctuations in the 1,780–1,820 range; if it stays above 1,780–1,800, the index could extend to 1,810–1,820. Trading prudence BSC: The VN-Index rose 25 points on 15/04 and closed at 1,800.65 thanks to VinGroup stocks, while the market overall traded quietly. Market breadth favored negatives with 14 of 18 sectors down, notably basic materials, media, and retail; conversely, real estate and travel & leisure rose about 5%. Foreign traders sold about 3.5 trillion on HOSE and net bought on HNX and UPCoM. According to BSC, the upside bias seen on 15/04 will not last long; investors should trade cautiously from 16/04 onward. Portfolio review VikkiBankS: The market is testing resistance around 1,750–1,800 with a cautious mood amid geopolitical uncertainty. Investors should continue portfolio reviews, monitor the flow of funds between sectors, and prioritize stocks with solid fundamentals for the second quarter of 2026. Other notes and related links keep appearing in the article as part of the extended analysis. Mã chứng khoá liên quan (2) SHS TPS SHS: 18,200 +0.55% TPS: 51,000 0% Nhiều thách thức cho hành trình chinh phục mốc điểm 2,000 của VN-Index Lãi suất, lạm phát và dòng tiền được các chuyên gia đánh giá là ba yếu tố then chốt định hình thị trường chứng khoán năm 2026. Trong bối cảnh áp lực địa chính trị... Nâng hạng thị trường giúp Việt Nam thu hút "dòng vốn gắn bó" và thúc đẩy quá trình định chế hóa GPT: SHS Research: Thị trường cần thêm thời gian tích lũy chờ yếu tố cơ bản cải thiện Kết luận và thêm nhiều góc nhìn khác từ các chuyên gia.