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XLM is up 3.5%, emerging as one of the best performers among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The move is occurring alongside a rise in network activity and retail demand, with Stellar’s on-chain metrics reaching a quarterly high and futures positioning turning more supportive for longs.
Blockchain fundamentals tracker Chainspect reported that Stellar processed more than 14.19 million transactions on Thursday, the highest level in the past quarter. The increase in transactions points to stronger interest and liquidity around XLM, supporting a bullish outlook.
Retail demand from leveraged traders is also contributing. CoinGlass data shows XLM funding rates flipped positive on Monday and were at 0.011% on Friday, indicating that longs are paying shorts. The article notes that when funding rates turn positive and rise, XLM has typically rallied sharply.
Futures open interest (OI) rose to $94.73 million on Friday, up from $82 million recorded last week. The combination of higher OI and surging network activity could help extend XLM’s advance in the near term, with bulls targeting the $0.1800 4-hour swing high.
On the 4-hour chart, the article describes XLM/USD as bearish and efficient. XLM is trading at $0.1645 after breaking above a descending trendline at $0.1580 the previous day. The coin is maintaining a corrective tone below the medium- and long-term exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Momentum indicators are described as improving: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 65, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is slightly positive. Together, they suggest downside momentum has faded and a bullish breakout is forming.
If the rally continues, initial resistance is expected around the $0.180 area (near the 100-day EMA and the 4-hour swing high). The next resistance level is cited at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the broader downswing at $0.201, with the 200-day EMA near $0.2159 also flagged as another level of interest.
On the downside, immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $0.164, followed by the former trendline break area near $0.158. The article adds that a daily candle close below $0.158 would expose the $0.136 swing low region, where the Fibonacci anchor is described as creating a more substantial floor.
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