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Aave (AAVE) has faced increased selling pressure following the KelpDAO attack, a weakness that also prompted many whales to sell the DeFi token. Exchange netflows have been positive recently and have matched early February levels, when the broader crypto market was undergoing a heavy sell-off—an alignment that may indicate continued weakness in AAVE’s market.
The Futures Taker CVD tracks the cumulative difference between market buy and market sell volumes over a three-month period. A falling CVD suggests less market buy volume. The CVD has slowly declined throughout 2026, implying sellers have had the upper hand, although it was not yet clearly seller-dominated at the time of writing.
The article notes that a shift similar to September and October 2025 could further pressure prices lower.
Crypto analyst Joao Wedson highlighted aggressive positioning by AAAVE whales and top traders, while retail appeared to be betting in the opposite direction. Wedson cautioned that “something big is about to happen,” though the specific catalyst was not identified in the source.
The 7-day moving average of exchange netflows rose sharply over the past week, reaching highs not seen in over a year. In April 2025, extremely high exchange inflows marked a market bottom at $125. However, the source argues it is unlikely the current uptick alone would confirm a local bottom.
At press time, the article identified notable bands of short liquidations from $96 to $102 and from $120 to $135. It states that Aave would likely need a rally beyond $125 and $132 to shift the bearish market structure toward a more bullish one.
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