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Bitcoin hit a monthly high of $79,472 during Wednesday’s trading session, marking its strongest 28-day gain since April 2025. The flagship cryptocurrency rose more than 4% in a single day, moving toward the $80,000 level as blockchain analytics and derivatives indicators turned more constructive.
Analyst Axel Adler Jr. said Bitcoin’s positioning index rose to 4.5, improving sharply from February’s -10.9. The composite measure tracks net taker flow patterns, open interest behavior, funding rate dynamics, and exchange balance shifts.
Derivatives activity also strengthened. Total open interest increased 6.7% over 24 hours to 260,000 BTC. The rolling 30-day change in open interest stands at +14.5%, with 23 of the last 30 trading sessions ending in positive territory.
Futures open interest for BTC surged by nearly 9%, pushing above the $62 billion threshold. CME open interest rose 0.50%, while Binance recorded close to 2% growth after President Trump’s remarks on diplomatic negotiations.
President Donald Trump indicated that U.S.-Iran diplomatic discussions could begin as early as Friday, according to the New York Post, after he decided to extend the Iran ceasefire agreement without a defined endpoint.
“BREAKING: Iran currently has ‘no plans’ to negotiate with the US on Friday, per Tasnim.”
“This morning, President Trump said he was expecting talks to begin as soon as Friday.”
U.S. equity markets also gained about 1% on Wednesday, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all posting advances. Risk-oriented assets responded positively to the geopolitical developments.
Iranian officials have not confirmed participation in the proposed negotiations. Adding uncertainty, Iranian military forces reportedly seized two commercial cargo vessels near the Strait of Hormuz shortly after the ceasefire extension announcement.
Bitcoin broke above a downward-sloping trendline that began at its October 2025 all-time high near $126,000 and recaptured the 100-day exponential moving average. The near-term test area is $81,000, where a fair-value gap suggests potential liquidity imbalances.
The $83,000–$85,000 band is described as a likely profit-realization zone for short-term holders. Above that, the $88,000–$91,000 range is identified as a supply concentration area where substantial trading volume previously occurred.
The realized price for holders in the three-to-six-month cohort is currently $91,600, which the article frames as a pivotal decision zone for market participants.
Analyst Ali Charts pointed to a Morning Star candlestick pattern forming on Bitcoin’s monthly chart. The pattern is a three-candle reversal setup interpreted as seller exhaustion and emerging buyer control.
Based on Charts’ historical analysis, price action typically experiences an approximate 8% retracement before the main upward move begins.
Analyst Crazzyblockk identified the $72,000–$75,000 range as a strong support foundation, supported by realized price concentrations from intermediate-term holders. The article notes that a decisive break below this band could prompt additional supply to enter underwater positions.
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