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Bitcoin fell to $70,981 on Thursday as the two-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire that sparked Tuesday’s broad market rally began showing “serious cracks” less than 48 hours after it was announced. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Wednesday evening that three clauses of the ceasefire proposal had been contravened, without specifying which.
The Strait of Hormuz—reopening of which was a centerpiece condition of the deal—remained effectively closed to normal commercial tanker traffic. Brent crude rebounded roughly 2% to approximately $97, reversing part of Wednesday’s more-than-10% single-day collapse, which was described as the commodity’s worst drop in six years.
Bitcoin’s decline was comparatively muted, down 0.5% over 24 hours, while still up 6.1% on the week. The price remained within the months-long $65,000–$73,000 trading range that has held since the conflict began.
Altcoins underperformed. Ether fell 2.6% to $2,180 after leading the ceasefire rally with a 5.2% weekly gain. Solana’s SOL dropped 3.1% to $81.96. XRP lost 3% to $1.33, and dogecoin slid 3.4% to $0.091.
Outside crypto, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.9%, reversing part of Wednesday’s surge that had been the index’s best single day in a year.
QCP Capital had flagged the risk earlier, writing that the ceasefire was “a pause rather than a durable settlement,” with the ceasefire conditional on how Iran manages passage through Hormuz over the coming weeks. The firm also said the “physical damage narrative has not gone away,” referring to significant energy infrastructure damage sustained by the U.S., Israel, and Iran over five weeks of conflict—an issue analysts say could keep oil near $100 regardless of any diplomatic agreement.
The macro environment adds further pressure. Some analysts described “uncoordinated tightening,” as major central banks keep rates higher for longer, reinforcing downward pressure on speculative assets. While Bitcoin’s net position remains positive on the week, a sustained breakout above $73,000—the ceiling of the conflict-era range—depends on whether the ceasefire holds long enough for energy markets to stabilize and for diplomatic talks to make meaningful progress at the weekend session in Islamabad.

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