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The crypto market could be headed toward a double-digit Bitcoin price crash, according to a historical pattern identified by a pseudonymous analyst, who says declines have consistently occurred after Bitcoin’s cyclical halving events.
A pseudonymous crypto market expert known as No Name on X forecasted a potential major drop, arguing that Bitcoin has historically crashed exactly 750 days after its cyclical halving.
The analyst said that across Bitcoin’s history there have been four halving events, and each has been followed by similar price declines within the same post-halving timeline. Based on this consistency, No Name suggested the current cycle could see a comparable downturn.
No Name’s analysis was dated May 1, when he said the market was already on day 740 since the last halving event in April 2024—leaving 10 days before the projected decline.
As of May 5, the article states there were about six days left before the expected correction, placing the decline date at May 11. No Name also cautioned that he cannot guarantee the pattern will repeat this cycle, but said historical trends strongly indicate another decline could be approaching.
The article notes that the analyst’s accompanying chart does not specify the exact price level Bitcoin could fall to if the post-halving crash occurs. Still, No Name urged traders and investors to remain prepared for a potential downturn.
The analyst has maintained a bearish view on Bitcoin for weeks. In a prior X post, No Name described the market as being in a phase of “anxiety,” saying many participants still believe BTC is only experiencing a slight dip.
However, he argued that the worst phase of the current market cycle has not yet begun.
While No Name’s view is bearish, other analysts have offered a more optimistic near-term outlook. Crypto expert Ted Pillows said Bitcoin could rally toward $85,000 if bullish momentum continues.
In an X post, Pillows said Bitcoin is trying to break above the November 2025 lows after recently climbing past $79,000. He predicted that if BTC can reclaim and hold the area around $80,000, it could rally quickly toward the $84,000 to $85,000 range.
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