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Giấy phép số 4978/GP-TTĐT do Sở Thông tin và Truyền thông Hà Nội cấp ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2019 / Giấy phép SĐ, BS GP ICP số 2107/GP-TTĐT do Sở TTTT Hà Nội cấp ngày 13/7/2022.
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The IMF 2026 conference will focus on forecasting the economic outlook after the United States and Iran failed to reach a joint agreement during marathon negotiations held over the past weekend in Pakistan. World policymakers are preparing to convene in Washington, DC to assess the damage that President Donald Trump’s confrontation with Iran has caused to growth in the Middle East and globally.
For many delegates attending the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, scheduled for April 13–18, the trip comes with a sense of deja vu. Last year’s event was also dominated by the shadow of tariff sanctions, another shock linked to the Trump administration.
The 2026 conference will center on turning a temporary ceasefire into a sustainable peace, and on discussing how governments and central banks can support the economy most effectively without creating new spillovers.
On the eve of the conference, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned that the ability to cope with global shocks is deteriorating. She cited tight fiscal space, risks from protectionist policies to neighboring economies, and nationalist politics that are fueling more conflicts rather than resolving them.
“Buckle up” was her advice ahead of the institution’s release of the Global Financial Stability Report and new economic projections on April 14. She confirmed that “against the negative impacts of war, we will certainly lower growth forecasts.”
In January 2026, the IMF projected global growth of 3.3% for the year, including 2.1% in the United States, 1.4% in the euro area, and 5.4% in emerging Asia.
However, the article says that since late February 2026, when air strikes began targeting Iran, all optimistic scenarios have been overturned.
Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz SE, said the coming quarters will be pivotal for measuring the resilience of economies, particularly those already mired in stagnation before the war.
One point highlighted is that spillover effects from President Trump’s actions and the erosion of trust are expected to persist—even if a ceasefire is maintained and shipping through key sea lanes returns to normal.
Ewa Manthey, commodities strategist at ING, emphasized that a ceasefire would remove only the most extreme downside risks. She said that to trigger a turning point, there must be stable and continuous flows of goods through the Hormuz Strait, not just headlines about reopening.

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