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Giấy phép số 4978/GP-TTĐT do Sở Thông tin và Truyền thông Hà Nội cấp ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2019 / Giấy phép SĐ, BS GP ICP số 2107/GP-TTĐT do Sở TTTT Hà Nội cấp ngày 13/7/2022.
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Despite a recently agreed fragile ceasefire, Iranian authorities are still seeking to collect tolls from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Analytics reporter Arkham said Iran is demanding a $1-per-barrel toll, with no state exempt from the tax.
According to the reporting, Iran is likely to enforce the toll program strictly. The approach would involve cargo assessments, background checks, and adherence to predetermined coastal routes, aimed at maintaining control over the crucial passageway.
The toll announcement may be negative for the long-term oil price outlook, but it could have a short-term impact on cryptocurrency markets, Arkham suggested. He framed the move as potentially supporting Bitcoin’s role in geopolitical settlement, describing it as a “warpath” involving the “petro US Dollar.”
A popular crypto analyst, TedPillows, argued that the new Iranian toll regime could trigger a major short-term price rebound. The analyst drew parallels with the Russia-Ukraine war, when Russia experimented with receiving BTC in exchange for oil—a policy that has continued at some level since.
The accompanying weekly BTC chart, as described in the article, shows price recoveries linked to both conflicts and announcements. The author’s forecast is for short-term “euphoria,” followed by a sharp decline to new lows, similar to the 2022 downturn that led to a roughly 50% fall in the crypto market over a matter of months.
The article also states that the Iranian toll tax could absorb the entire new supply of Bitcoin on its own. Another analyst, David, focused on supply-side dynamics and shared an infographic to support the claim.
The article argues that, while stablecoins could theoretically perform a similar settlement function, the U.S. government could block their circulation through the parent issuers. It contends that Bitcoin is a better alternative because it is not subject to the same kind of censorship and control.
The article concludes that the use of Bitcoin as an alternative payment method is likely to grow over time due to its borderless, decentralized nature. It adds that the Strait of Hormuz crisis may be resolved after tense negotiations in Islamabad, but that Bitcoin’s potential role as a neutral settlement asset for geopolitically sensitive trade routes could gain traction as the international community fragments and a new global trade order emerges.

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