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XRP has consolidated within a tight price range below $1.40 over the past 20 days, and new data points to a potential bullish breakout as Binance activity shifts away from deposit-heavy behavior, reducing near-term sell-side pressure.
Crypto analyst Amr Taha highlighted a change in XRP transaction flows on Binance. Over the past seven days, the average share of XRP withdrawals rose to 53%, while deposits fell to 46%, returning to levels last seen in June 2025.
In June 2025, a similar flow pattern preceded a rally in which XRP surged 65% to all-time highs of $3.65 in July 2025. The current shift is now drawing attention from traders watching for a repeat of that market structure.
Lower deposit activity suggests fewer coins are moving onto exchanges, while higher withdrawals indicate assets leaving exchanges. If sustained across multiple sessions, this can reduce immediate sell-side pressure by limiting incoming supply to trading venues.
Alongside the flow shift, liquidity has declined sharply. CryptoQuant data shows XRP’s 30-day liquidity index on Binance falling to 0.053, the lowest level since 2021. Over the same period, 30-day trading volume is nearly 3.77 billion XRP, described as one of the weakest activity stretches in recent years.
XRP Binance liquidity index. Source: CryptoQuant
The price action reflects the slowdown. XRP is trading near $1.38 and has shown limited movement over roughly three weeks, consistent with a quieter order book and reduced trader participation. The article notes that lower-liquidity phases can build momentum and precede a stronger directional move when activity returns.
While XRP price remains range-bound, on-chain metrics suggest less aggressive selling. The aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) is reported at -$153 million, while futures CVD is near -$295 million, indicating a reduction in sell pressure.
Buy-side activity has not expanded materially, helping keep price movement muted. Funding rates have turned slightly positive at 0.06%, suggesting a mild long bias. Open interest has increased to nearly $769 million, indicating new positions are entering the market.
Technically, the article states that a daily close above $1.40 could open the door to a move toward $1.60–$1.67. The $1.40 area is also described as aligning with the 50-day moving average, which may act as support if a breakout occurs.
Liquidation data cited in the article estimates roughly $250–$300 million in cumulative long/short positions at risk within a 10% move in either direction. It also notes that, relative to larger assets such as BTC and Ether, the liquidity is smaller, implying lower trader participation around the $1.40 level.
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