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XRP has reclaimed the $1.40 level as the market heats up and buyers begin asserting control after weeks of consolidation. The move is modest but directional, and a CryptoQuant analyst says an order-flow signal suggests the current recovery has more structural support than the price action alone indicates.
The 100-day moving average of XRP’s Taker Buy Sell Ratio on Binance rose to 0.9766 on May 3. The indicator is designed to filter out daily noise and highlight longer-running behavior in derivatives order flow. A reading near 1.0 implies that, over the period measured, aggressive buyers have been nearly matching aggressive sellers—consistent with persistent accumulation rather than short-term momentum chasing.
This reading is occurring alongside a sharp correction. XRP fell from a $3.55 peak in July 2025 to around $1.39 currently, a decline of more than 60%. During that drawdown, the 100-day buying pressure average has been climbing toward the current elevated level.
While the on-chain order-flow signal is constructive, the analyst also highlights short-term technical concerns. XRP is forming a bearish pennant directly on a key support level. The pattern reflects tightening price action after a decline, with lower highs compressing toward a floor that has not yet been confirmed as durable. In this context, the compression has tended to resolve in the direction of the prior trend, which has been downward.
In addition, the analyst points to a hidden bearish divergence on the RSI, suggesting momentum is weakening even as price appears to stabilize. Together, the two signals indicate that sellers may still hold structural control despite the surface-level stabilization.
The analyst’s framing is that on-chain data points to a gradual bottoming phase, with accumulated buying pressure building beneath price. However, the chart suggests the bottoming process may not be complete, and the risk of a long squeeze—a sharp downward move that unwinds upward bets—remains elevated until XRP clears resistance with strong confirmation.
XRP is trading around $1.40 after reclaiming the level, but the broader structure is described as compression rather than expansion. The chart indicates a prolonged consolidation phase following a sharp February selloff, with price trading in a tight range between approximately $1.30 support and $1.45 resistance.
The reclaim of $1.40 is considered technically constructive, but not decisive. XRP remains below the descending 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are acting as dynamic resistance and have capped prior recovery attempts, keeping the broader trend biased to the downside.
Volatility has contracted as well, with candles tightening, shorter wicks, and lower volume compared with the capitulation phase. The article notes that this kind of structure typically precedes expansion, but it does not, by itself, indicate direction.
The article concludes that XRP is at a crossroads: the accumulation signal is present, but the technical risks remain, and the market has not yet decided which framework will dominate.
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