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The activity spike on the XRP network is unexpected and could serve as a basis for a broader recovery, as price action shifts into a short-term recovery structure alongside a rise in payments volume.
XRP is trading in the mid-$1.40 range on the daily chart, forming a sequence of higher lows after the most recent low at $1.30.
While declining moving averages continue to cap the broader trend, the latest shift suggests that selling pressure is easing. XRP is currently testing short-term resistance near the 50 EMA, even as the 100 and 200 EMAs remain macro barriers.
The gradual upward push and compression close to local support indicate improving near-term conditions. However, volume is not yet providing a fully supportive signal: compared with previous selloffs, trading activity has been comparatively low, implying the move may lack strong conviction.
If volume does not increase during additional upside attempts, XRP risks stalling before reaching higher resistance zones around $1.50–$1.55.
In the longer run, XRP’s ability to sustain progress depends on whether the recent activity translates into consistent demand. A break above the 50 EMA, accompanied by rising volume, could enable a retest of higher resistance levels.
If that confirmation does not occur, sideways consolidation is likely to continue, with support remaining near the most recent base. Overall, XRP appears to be entering a transitional stage: the market is no longer overtly pessimistic, but it is not yet convincingly bullish. Increased on-chain activity is encouraging, but price still needs confirmation through stronger participation and a clear break of key resistance levels.
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