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Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $76,690, down roughly 3% during Asian morning hours, as investors remain cautious ahead of a critical week of macroeconomic events. The cryptocurrency is hovering near the $77,000 level, reflecting hesitation among traders rather than a major shift in overall market sentiment.
Market participants are closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, along with key economic indicators including GDP, PCE inflation, and the Employment Cost Index. These data points are expected to influence expectations around potential interest rate cuts later this year.
According to market maker Enflux, traders are reluctant to push bitcoin prices higher until there is clearer guidance from the Fed, particularly regarding inflation trends.
One of the biggest factors influencing the crypto market is the surge in oil prices. Brent crude trading above $100 continues to complicate the inflation outlook, making it more difficult for the Federal Reserve to adopt a dovish stance.
As a result, expectations for a June rate cut have significantly diminished, with prediction markets indicating a high probability that rates will remain unchanged.
From a technical perspective, bitcoin is trading about 4% below its short-term holder cost basis of approximately $80,700. This level is widely viewed as a key indicator of investor confidence.
A breakout above this threshold would likely require stronger signals that inflation pressures—particularly those linked to energy prices—are temporary.
Broader market dynamics are adding complexity. Reports suggesting slower-than-expected growth in AI demand, including missed revenue targets by major players, could affect bitcoin mining companies. Many miners have been selling BTC to fund investments in AI infrastructure.
A slowdown in this selling trend could reduce pressure over time, but any immediate weakness in tech stocks may still weigh on crypto prices.
For now, bitcoin remains range-bound, with its next major move likely tied to upcoming economic data rather than short-term market sentiment.
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