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Bitcoin climbed back above $72,000 as hopes for an agreement between the U.S. and Iran lifted market sentiment.
In trader commentary, Michael van de Poppe said Bitcoin is positioning for a potential breakout, with three scenarios in focus.
The first scenario involves an immediate breakout toward $80,000. Van de Poppe linked this to prolonged consolidation, weakening resistance near $74,000, and subdued sentiment. He also noted that macro uncertainty could strengthen Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
The second scenario—described as the most likely—calls for a liquidity sweep toward $64,000–$66,000 before a sustained move higher. The aim would be to clear excess long positions, resolve the current market structure, and set up a stronger foundation for a breakout. The $65,000 level was identified as critical support.
The third scenario points to bearish continuation toward $52,000–$54,000 if key support fails. Van de Poppe suggested this could be triggered by broader market stress or geopolitical escalation. However, he said strong demand below $60,000 and low sentiment reduce the likelihood of this outcome.
Despite short-term uncertainty, the overall bias remains cautiously bullish, with pullbacks viewed as potential opportunities. A move toward $80,000 remains the key upside target, where traders may begin taking profits.
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