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New data indicates the U.S. economy remains resilient, even as inflation pressures persist. The latest figures relate to February 2026 personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation, a key measure the Federal Reserve monitors as it works to return inflation to its 2% long-run target.
The Commerce Department reported that the PCE index rose 0.4% month over month in February and increased 2.8% year over year. Both readings matched economists’ expectations from an LSEG poll.
Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also rose 0.4% from the prior month and climbed 3% year over year. These figures were likewise in line with LSEG expectations.
Federal Reserve policymakers focus on the headline PCE figure while also viewing core data as a better indicator of underlying inflation. Compared with January, headline PCE inflation held steady at 2.8%, while core PCE edged down slightly from 3.1%.
Goods prices increased 1.2% year over year in February, down from 1.3% in January. The pace of goods price growth has slowed over 2025, falling from an annual rate of 4.2% in January 2025 to 0.1% in December.
Services prices rose 3% year over year in February, up from 2.6% in January. The services inflation rate was last this high in January 2025, when services prices were up 2.9% year over year.
The data comes as market volatility has been influenced by geopolitical events and Federal Reserve policy expectations. The story is developing and is expected to be updated with additional details.

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