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Giấy phép số 4978/GP-TTĐT do Sở Thông tin và Truyền thông Hà Nội cấp ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2019 / Giấy phép SĐ, BS GP ICP số 2107/GP-TTĐT do Sở TTTT Hà Nội cấp ngày 13/7/2022.
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Bitcoin reacted immediately to Donald Trump’s statements regarding the conflict between the United States and Iran. In a context of heightened tensions, the crypto market recorded a rapid increase, driven by contradictory signals between threats and negotiations. The possibility of a ceasefire strengthened this dynamic, with investors treating each political announcement as a direct driver of price moves.
A sharp rise in tensions between Washington and Tehran followed Donald Trump’s remarks. The U.S. president warned Iran that it “would live a real hell” if the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked.
At the same time, he signaled a potential diplomatic outcome, saying “Iran is currently in negotiation” and that there were “good chances” of reaching an agreement within 24 hours. This mix of maximum pressure and openness to talks contributed to immediate market volatility.
Bitcoin’s price exceeded $72,000 for the first time in 20 days after the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. Trump said: “I agree to suspend bombings and attacks against Iran for a period of two weeks,” in a post on Truth Social, a few hours before the expiration of his ultimatum requiring Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under threat of strikes targeting key infrastructure. The Iranian Supreme National Security Council also confirmed it had agreed to the ceasefire.
As diplomatic discussions gained momentum, the market’s interpretation shifted. The information available pointed to active negotiations and the possibility of a rapid agreement, with Trump stating that Iran was engaged in talks and that a resolution remained plausible in the very short term.
The ceasefire narrative—mentioned for a duration of up to 45 days—reframed risk from escalation toward potential de-escalation. This change supported investor repositioning toward higher-risk assets, helping bitcoin continue rising beyond prior levels, while broader financial markets reacted positively to the prospect of easing tensions.
Despite the improvement in sentiment, macroeconomic expectations remain closely monitored, particularly because high oil prices could support inflation. The U.S. consumer price index is estimated at 3.7%.
Overall, the episode highlights how the crypto market is increasingly sensitive to real-time political developments. The rapid sequence of contradictory announcements, followed by renewed hope for stabilization, acted as a catalyst for extreme volatility. If the ceasefire dynamic holds, bitcoin could further reflect geopolitical tension levels, moving in line with negotiation updates and international power dynamics.
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