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Bitcoin’s stretch inside a 9-week bear flag may be nearing its end. There is a possibility of one more week within the pattern, but the bear-market trendline is pressing on the $BTC price, leaving limited room for further movement. The next phase hinges on whether bulls can force a breakout or bears can maintain control.
On the short-term timeframe, $BTC is attempting to hold above the $71,400 support level. If it maintains that level, the price would face a relatively short climb toward the descending bear-market trendline, followed by the $74,000 horizontal resistance level.
The key issue is not whether the price can reach and retest the descending trendline, but whether bulls can sustain momentum once it gets there. After entering the seventh month of the downtrend, the market is now testing whether this is the point where the downtrend breaks and Bitcoin begins to climb again.
The daily chart highlights two bear flags and shows how close $BTC is to retesting the bear-market trendline. Even if the trendline is broken, the bear flag is described as remaining active until the price moves well above $80,000.
Volume profile data at the bottom of the chart is tapering down, which the article links to the buildup of a larger move. The RSI remains below a downtrend line, suggesting that either a rejection or a breakout may be developing.
The setup is characterized as a “very close call,” with price action approaching key levels.
On the weekly chart, $BTC is described as being near the end of the bear flag, at least in terms of the flag’s bottom. Comparing the two bear flags, both are noted as being 10 weeks in. At this stage in the first bear flag, the price had already begun dropping out of the pattern.
With three days remaining, the current bear flag is described as looking to move in the opposite direction. The article frames the outcome around whether the weekly candle closes this coming Sunday.
There may be room for one more candle within the bear flag. However, if bulls can hold the price around the current level into Sunday’s close, the next candle would open on the other side of the descending trendline, which the article says would provide a boost to bulls.
In the weekly timeframe, the RSI is presented as a more reliable guide and is described as being above the downtrend line. This weekly setup is also said to require holding into the end of Sunday’s trading session, with the article pointing to prior instances where the price “rocketed” after the downtrend line was broken.
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