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Investor sentiment around XRP has deteriorated sharply, with on-chain data indicating that a majority of holders are now sitting on significant losses. Recent metrics suggest that more than half of XRP’s circulating supply is currently underwater amid sustained bearish pressure that has weighed on the asset in recent months.
On-chain data retrieved from Santiment by Finbold on April 6 shows that the average wallets active on the XRP Ledger over the past year are down approximately 41% on their holdings. The data also points to the lowest level of the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio since the FTX collapse, a period widely associated with extreme stress across the cryptocurrency market.
The decline in profitability is reflected in distribution data, which shows that only 43.4% of XRP’s total supply remains in profit. Daily realized losses have surged, at times reaching $110 million, while persistent selling pressure has kept XRP from staging a meaningful recovery despite broader market stabilization.
Deeply compressed MVRV levels have historically signaled late-stage bearish cycles. As more holders remain in losses, selling pressure tends to ease, which can create room for gradual accumulation by long-term investors.
Historically, periods marked by depressed MVRV have been followed by strong rebounds. Current data suggests a potential 63% upside if market sentiment improves and demand returns.
At the same time, XRP appears to be experiencing a disconnect between network activity and market performance. Finbold reported that XRP addresses increased from 7.9 million at the start of 2026 to about 8.1 million as of April 6.
While the steady rise in addresses points to ongoing user adoption and network expansion, it has not translated into price gains. The muted performance is attributed to the absence of asset-specific catalysts, leaving XRP largely to track broader cryptocurrency market trends.
As of press time, XRP was trading at $1.31, down 2.5% over the past 24 hours, while the weekly timeframe showed a decline of less than 0.1%. XRP has been range-bound since late February, repeatedly testing critical support near $1.28, a level that has held through multiple selloffs.
A decisive break below $1.28 could lead to deeper corrections toward $1.20 and $1.15. Conversely, a sustained move above $1.36 may indicate short-term strength, with potential upside toward $1.45 and potentially $1.60.

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