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President Donald Trump has proposed a $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 U.S. defense budget, a plan that could reshape demand across the aerospace and defense sector. UBS analyst Allyson Gordon flagged three potential winners and one notable loser tied to how the spending request may flow through key defense programs.
The White House request would raise defense outlays to roughly $1.5 trillion in 2027. UBS said the goal is to rebuild munitions stockpiles that were depleted by the Iran conflict and Operation Epic Fury, while also funding a larger Navy and a modernized deterrent.
Gordon added that the request’s scale “should help sentiment” after a period in which U.S. defense stocks lagged despite rising geopolitical risk.
UBS pointed to RTX as a potential beneficiary of restocking needs tied to Epic Fury and new missile-focused funding lines. The analyst said this could translate into multi-year backlog and margin tailwinds.
UBS also highlighted that RTX may shift from older, “stale-priced” contracts toward more profitable mature production awards.
UBS cited Trump’s long-running push for a larger Navy and a fleet of 300-plus ships as a key driver for shipbuilding demand.
For General Dynamics, UBS linked the outlook to increased demand for Electric Boat’s submarines and surface combatants, which could support higher yards utilization and pricing power over the back half of the decade.
For Huntington Ingalls, UBS said the budget could support demand for aircraft carriers and amphibious ships, similarly potentially improving yards utilization and pricing power later in the decade.
UBS identified Northrop Grumman as the one stock to sell, despite its “massive backlog” and exposure to space and strategic systems.
The analyst said any perceived downshift in B-21 volume or timing would be a clear negative for sentiment. UBS added that investors could rotate toward missile and shipbuilding plays with what it described as cleaner upside aligned with the budget blueprint.

Premium gym chains are entering a “golden era” that is ending or already in decline, as rising operating costs collide with shifting consumer preferences toward more flexible, community-based ways to exercise. Long-term memberships are shrinking, margins are pressured by higher rents and facility expenses, and competition from smaller, more personalized…